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PENRITH

R1 5:33 PM R2 6:01 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:07 PM R5 7:37 PM R6 8:07 PM R7 8:37 PM R8 9:07 PM R9 9:37 PM

Race 3

6:36 PM
2125m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st CREDULOUS โญ Best Bet
2nd MAJOR ICON
3rd BEV THE GOAT
4th GOODTIME BRAVO
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” CREDULOUS finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
5
CREDULOUS P $1.04
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. CREDULOUS FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.60 $1.04 $2.53
1. MAJOR ICON 1 $5.50 $1.36 $6.63
7. BEV THE GOAT 7 $8.00 $1.80 $8.66
9. YA RACIN ARLO 9 $8.00 $2.00 $11.10
3. MOOPS 3 $14.00 $2.80 $13.28
8. FIRE FOX 8 $15.00 $2.75 $14.18
6. BARA RILEY 6 $41.00 $5.25 $24.19
4. SMOKESCREEN 4 $51.00 $5.75 $31.44
2. ADMIRABLE 2 $101.00 $6.75 $63.04
10. GOODTIME BRAVO 10 $151.00 $11.00 $74.89
Favourite record at PENRITH โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 94% 50*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 49% 81% 75
2.00โ€“2.49 44% 69% 85
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 58% 115
3.50โ€“4.99 12% 37% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.