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BALLARAT

R1 5:37 PM R2 6:06 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:09 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 2

6:06 PM
1710m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st HAPPILY โญ Best Bet
2nd LANIKAI WARRIOR
3rd BUNGY
4th DARETODANCE
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” HAPPILY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
HAPPILY P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. HAPPILY FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.45 $1.02 $2.22
4. MY MARIONETTE 4 $3.20 $1.07 $4.55
2. LANIKAI WARRIOR 2 $18.00 $2.30 $12.33
6. BUNGY 6 $13.00 $2.05 $12.50
7. DARETODANCE 7 $23.00 $3.00 $16.56
5. KATUNTI 5 $41.00 $3.90 $18.21
3. MAHEO 3 $81.00 $5.25 $43.57
1. JILLIBY UTAH 1 $126.00 $4.60 $57.90
9. CALEDONIAN ROCKY 9 $126.00 $5.75 $80.58
Favourite record at BALLARAT โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 72% 96% 25*
1.50โ€“1.99 39% 73% 56*
2.00โ€“2.49 34% 73% 44*
2.50โ€“3.49 35% 58% 62
3.50โ€“4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.