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BALLARAT

R1 5:37 PM R2 6:06 PM R3 6:36 PM R4 7:09 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM

Race 1

5:37 PM
2200m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st MASTER LOUEY 📍 Place Pick
2nd JOE GOT ROLLED 💡 Saver
3rd EL LAZZAR
4th MUSELET
✅ Place bet — won outright — MASTER LOUEY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — JOE GOT ROLLED ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
MASTER LOUEY W $2.00·P $1.09
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
1
JOE GOT ROLLED P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. MASTER LOUEY FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.00 $1.09 $3.51
1. JOE GOT ROLLED 1 $4.00 $1.30 $5.76
5. BELLA LOUISE 5 $7.00 $2.00 $8.50
10. BLACK OPAL JACK 10 $8.00 $2.20 $8.50
7. EL LAZZAR 7 $15.00 $3.25 $12.70
6. STORM VENDETTA 6 $15.00 $3.25 $13.27
3. SPORTS NARRATOR 3 $26.00 $4.25 $14.21
4. BLUE MIKI 4 $51.00 $6.50 $26.42
8. ROBLEN DEMON 8 $61.00 $5.25 $38.27
9. MUSELET 9 $81.00 $6.50 $56.58
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 72% 96% 25*
1.50–1.99 39% 73% 56*
2.00–2.49 this race 34% 73% 44*
2.50–3.49 35% 58% 62
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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