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SHEPPARTON

R1 5:02 PM R2 5:32 PM R3 6:03 PM R4 6:30 PM R5 6:58 PM R6 7:30 PM R7 8:00 PM R8 8:30 PM

Race 1

5:02 PM
1690m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Shepparton Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st TRYX VIXEN
2nd ALTA BAYAMO โญ Best Bet
3rd MUSSEL SHOALS
4th EAGLE MAJOR
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” ALTA BAYAMO ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
ALTA BAYAMO P $1.03
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. ALTA BAYAMO FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.60 $1.03 $2.78
11. TRYX VIXEN 11 $7.00 $1.75 $7.54
2. MUSSEL SHOALS 2 $8.50 $1.85 $8.68
8. TOBYS SHOUT 8 $12.00 $2.45 $9.21
7. CAZADERO 7 $12.00 $2.45 $11.79
1. LUVERBOY 1 $13.00 $2.20 $12.80
10. EAGLE MAJOR 10 $31.00 $4.40 $21.81
5. OUR MYSTERY BET 5 $51.00 $5.75 $31.95
9. CRESCO THREEPEAT 9 $81.00 $6.00 $32.62
4. LIKE A LIBRARIAN 4 $126.00 $8.50 $78.66
Favourite record at SHEPPARTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 62% 79% 29*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 44% 75% 81
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 66% 70
2.50โ€“3.49 24% 59% 94
3.50โ€“4.99 38% 77% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.