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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:49 PM R2 6:19 PM R3 6:52 PM R4 7:22 PM R5 7:52 PM R6 8:22 PM R7 9:00 PM

Race 5

7:52 PM
1609m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st CHANGES
2nd BETTOR ELEMENTS 💡 Saver
3rd REVVIN REYNARD
4th WATTS UP WOODY
❌ Unplaced — LONESOME STRANGER didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — BETTOR ELEMENTS ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
LONESOME STRANGER W $1.90·P $1.08
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
BETTOR ELEMENTS P $1.40
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. LONESOME STRANGER FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.90 $1.08 $2.86
9. CHANGES 9 $6.50 $1.85 $6.37
5. BETTOR ELEMENTS 5 $4.80 $1.40 $6.43
1. WATTS UP WOODY 1 $7.50 $1.70 $10.23
8. REVVIN REYNARD 8 $11.00 $2.65 $13.50
6. MULLUM SIZZLE 6 $17.00 $3.40 $15.74
2. CHEER ME ON 2 $41.00 $4.75 $22.87
4. MICKS CRUZA 4 $31.00 $4.60 $30.31
7. DELANEY 7 $61.00 $6.75 $39.78
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 69% 90% 49*
1.50–1.99 this race 44% 77% 114
2.00–2.49 41% 70% 111
2.50–3.49 25% 57% 166
3.50–4.99 19% 53% 43*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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