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BALLARAT

R1 5:18 PM R2 5:52 PM R3 6:22 PM R4 6:58 PM R5 7:34 PM R6 8:07 PM R7 8:37 PM R8 9:07 PM

Race 1

5:18 PM
1710m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st STORM VENDETTA
2nd MASTER LOUEY 📍 Place Pick
3rd COLOSIMO 💡 Saver
4th EL LAZZAR
✅ Place bet landed — MASTER LOUEY ran a place
✅ Saver placed — COLOSIMO ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
MASTER LOUEY W $1.75·P $1.06
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
9
COLOSIMO P $1.38
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. MASTER LOUEY FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.75 $1.06 $3.14
9. COLOSIMO 9 $4.60 $1.38 $5.30
2. BLUE MIKI 2 $6.50 $1.60 $7.71
6. FLIGHT LOUTENANT 6 $12.00 $2.65 $11.65
5. STORM VENDETTA 5 $20.00 $3.75 $15.24
11. EL LAZZAR 11 $17.00 $3.50 $16.84
3. WINGATE GUY 3 $41.00 $4.75 $18.94
8. MONSIEUR FLAMEL 8 $23.00 $3.50 $20.95
10. FOREGONE CONCLUSION 10 $26.00 $4.25 $28.49
7. ARUVAL 7 $201.00 $13.00 $58.84
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 70% 96% 23*
1.50–1.99 this race 38% 73% 55*
2.00–2.49 33% 72% 43*
2.50–3.49 36% 57% 61
3.50–4.99 23% 59% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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