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NEWCASTLE

R1 6:22 PM R2 6:52 PM R3 7:22 PM R4 7:52 PM R5 8:25 PM R6 8:52 PM R7 9:25 PM R8 9:57 PM

Race 4

7:52 PM
1609m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st NOCTURNAL ๐Ÿ“ Place Pick
2nd BETWEEN DECKS
3rd LOCHINVAR MARCELLO
4th SAN SEBASTIAN ๐Ÿ’ก Saver
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” NOCTURNAL finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner โ€” win or place.
8
NOCTURNAL W $2.30ยทP $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top โ€” a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
SAN SEBASTIAN P $1.30
Saver ยท place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite โ€” a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. NOCTURNAL FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.30 $1.18 $3.31
2. SAN SEBASTIAN 2 $3.40 $1.30 $4.89
4. ROCK WITH THE BEST 4 $8.00 $2.20 $9.79
12. ETHANS REVENGE 12 $10.00 $2.50 $10.37
7. TOWERING FORTUNE 7 $11.00 $2.65 $10.69
10. LOCHINVAR MARCELLO 10 $12.00 $2.65 $13.26
11. SILENT FEARS 11 $20.00 $4.00 $18.27
9. GRUMPYSHANNON 9 $51.00 $6.50 $39.12
5. BETWEEN DECKS 5 $61.00 $6.50 $41.63
1. MODERN MISCHIEF 1 $71.00 $5.00 $47.31
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.30) sits in the 2.00โ€“2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 89% 45*
1.50โ€“1.99 45% 77% 105
2.00โ€“2.49 this race 41% 69% 101
2.50โ€“3.49 26% 59% 160
3.50โ€“4.99 20% 54% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.