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NEWCASTLE

R1 6:22 PM R2 6:52 PM R3 7:22 PM R4 7:52 PM R5 8:25 PM R6 8:52 PM R7 9:25 PM R8 9:57 PM

Race 3

7:22 PM
1609m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st MONTALBANO
2nd PARADISE POINT
3rd SMIRKIN SERENE 📍 Place Pick
4th ROCKTAGONAL
✅ Place bet landed — SMIRKIN SERENE ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
11
SMIRKIN SERENE P $1.30
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
11. SMIRKIN SERENE FAV TOP RATED 11 $3.00 $1.30 $4.06
4. MONTALBANO 4 $4.60 $1.60 $6.22
1. PARADISE POINT 1 $6.00 $1.70 $7.26
2. THE METAL FLYER 2 $7.50 $2.10 $9.07
7. MAJOR REASON 7 $8.00 $2.35 $9.52
8. WALTER WARLOCK 8 $11.00 $2.80 $11.64
3. CAPTAIN RITCHIE 3 $15.00 $3.70 $15.56
10. BLACK ONYX 10 $34.00 $4.50 $29.00
5. ROCKTAGONAL 5 $41.00 $6.25 $33.23
6. SPIRIT KING 6 $51.00 $6.75 $39.44
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.00) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 67% 89% 45*
1.50–1.99 45% 77% 105
2.00–2.49 41% 69% 101
2.50–3.49 this race 26% 59% 160
3.50–4.99 20% 54% 41*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.