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BALLARAT

R1 6:05 PM R2 6:32 PM R3 7:00 PM R4 7:32 PM R5 8:04 PM R6 8:31 PM R7 9:05 PM R8 9:44 PM

Race 2

6:32 PM
2200m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st JOE LOU
2nd PURPLE MOON 📍 Place Pick
3rd MATISOFF
4th JILLIBY RADIANCE
✅ Place bet landed — PURPLE MOON ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
2
PURPLE MOON P $1.30
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
1
SHAQ THE ANVIL W $10.00
Form view · saver 15.5% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 66.7% (3 starts) · Recent form: 9167
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. PURPLE MOON FAV TOP RATED 2 $3.20 $1.30 $4.36
5. JILLIBY RADIANCE 5 $3.30 $1.32 $4.70
4. JOE LOU 4 $4.20 $1.40 $5.18
8. NIGHT FLIGHT 8 $5.50 $1.75 $6.59
1. SHAQ THE ANVIL 1 $10.00 $2.20 $11.16
9. SPANISH RIZARDO 9 $21.00 $3.80 $21.26
6. AI SEDHAI 6 $26.00 $4.60 $23.87
3. ARGYLE MUSE 3 $81.00 $7.50 $55.38
7. MATISOFF 7 $101.00 $9.50 $61.35
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.20) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 33% 69% 45*
2.00–2.49 31% 71% 42*
2.50–3.49 this race 34% 55% 53*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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