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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:34 PM R2 6:10 PM R3 6:35 PM R4 7:05 PM R5 7:42 PM R6 8:19 PM R7 8:56 PM R8 9:33 PM R9 10:10 PM

Race 4

7:05 PM
1609m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st VINCENTIUS MAXIMUS
2nd METALLICA MAN
3rd KAIRAKI DELIGHT 📍 Place Pick
4th DANGEROUS THREATS
✅ Place bet landed — KAIRAKI DELIGHT ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
1
KAIRAKI DELIGHT P $1.36
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. KAIRAKI DELIGHT FAV TOP RATED 1 $3.30 $1.36 $5.16
7. CAPTAIN GROOVE 7 $5.00 $1.80 $6.65
2. HALF HOLIDAY 2 $6.00 $1.90 $7.18
5. DANGEROUS THREATS 5 $6.00 $2.05 $7.87
4. VINCENTIUS MAXIMUS 4 $8.00 $2.45 $9.29
9. METALLICA MAN 9 $8.50 $2.35 $10.71
10. RADIANT AMBER 10 $13.00 $3.20 $13.75
6. AVENGER 6 $23.00 $4.60 $20.92
3. PENURIOUS 3 $41.00 $6.50 $29.59
8. WHATABOYJACK 8 $31.00 $5.50 $29.62
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.30) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 44*
1.50–1.99 46% 79% 100
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 95
2.50–3.49 this race 26% 58% 153
3.50–4.99 18% 53% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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