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MENANGLE

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Race 5

3:33 PM
1609m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Club Menangle Trackside โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st BLACKJACK BART
2nd VESPA STRIDE
3rd SURF ACE
4th FIRESTRIKE โญ Best Bet
โŒ Unplaced โ€” FIRESTRIKE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
10
FIRESTRIKE P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. FIRESTRIKE FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.40 $1.02 $2.08
2. SURF ACE 2 $7.50 $1.50 $9.02
6. GIMME A REASON 6 $8.50 $1.90 $9.50
7. HYKEEPMEPOSTED 7 $9.50 $2.05 $10.16
3. BLACKJACK BART 3 $17.00 $3.00 $17.01
8. EXPLOSIVE BRONSKI 8 $26.00 $3.90 $21.86
9. HESAA LISTER 9 $51.00 $5.50 $34.29
4. PARALLEL 4 $51.00 $5.25 $38.76
1. RUEBE STARBUCK 1 $51.00 $4.20 $39.61
5. VESPA STRIDE 5 $71.00 $6.50 $50.07
Favourite record at MENANGLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.40) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 75% 86% 96
1.50โ€“1.99 52% 80% 131
2.00โ€“2.49 39% 74% 144
2.50โ€“3.49 31% 59% 183
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 52% 46*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.