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MARBURG

R1 12:42 PM R2 1:14 PM R3 1:52 PM R4 2:34 PM R5 3:09 PM R6 3:44 PM R7 4:22 PM R8 4:54 PM

Race 7

4:22 PM
1850m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st B MAC C
2nd LETHAL LOUIE
3rd MY PURPLE PATCH
4th BUDDY PERFECT
❌ Unplaced — PUMPKIN PAT didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
4
PUMPKIN PAT P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. PUMPKIN PAT FAV TOP RATED 4 $2.60 $1.22 $3.61
5. BUDDY PERFECT 5 $3.20 $1.30 $4.46
1. ROCKIN SWEET 1 $5.00 $1.36 $6.50
6. STORMTIDE 6 $6.00 $1.65 $7.40
8. MY PURPLE PATCH 8 $11.00 $2.70 $11.83
2. TIGER SHIRL 2 $26.00 $4.00 $22.79
9. LETHAL LOUIE 9 $31.00 $4.80 $25.67
7. B MAC C 7 $41.00 $5.00 $35.80
3. MERGE RIGHT 3 $101.00 $8.50 $69.45
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.60) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 71% 96% 24*
1.50–1.99 47% 84% 38*
2.00–2.49 48% 83% 29*
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 77% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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