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MARBURG

R1 12:42 PM R2 1:14 PM R3 1:52 PM R4 2:34 PM R5 3:09 PM R6 3:44 PM R7 4:22 PM R8 4:54 PM

Race 5

3:09 PM
1850m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st HOLME BOY
2nd AZOR AHAI
3rd WICKED MACK
4th VICTREE BUSTA
❌ Unplaced — TEACHERS PET didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
TEACHERS PET P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. TEACHERS PET FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.60 $1.02 $2.51
7. HOLME BOY 7 $8.50 $1.95 $9.17
3. AZOR AHAI 3 $9.00 $2.15 $9.61
6. SKYLAR BREE 6 $9.50 $1.95 $10.54
5. SIR BRIGADOON 5 $11.00 $2.40 $12.23
2. PARTY CHANGER 2 $13.00 $2.45 $13.83
8. VICTREE BUSTA 8 $18.00 $3.40 $17.08
4. WEE BONNIE 4 $31.00 $4.25 $24.50
9. WICKED MACK 9 $34.00 $4.60 $24.88
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 71% 96% 24*
1.50–1.99 this race 47% 84% 38*
2.00–2.49 48% 83% 29*
2.50–3.49 30% 77% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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