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PENRITH

R1 5:55 PM R2 6:23 PM R3 6:49 PM R4 7:15 PM R5 7:52 PM R6 8:22 PM R7 8:52 PM R8 9:22 PM R9 9:52 PM

Race 3

6:49 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st BEV THE GOAT 📍 Place Pick
2nd FIRE FOX
3rd IDEAL MARQUESS
4th MILLI ME
✅ Place bet — won outright — BEV THE GOAT finished 1st
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
3
BEV THE GOAT P $1.40
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. BEV THE GOAT FAV TOP RATED 3 $3.70 $1.40 $5.61
5. KEAYANG SANTIAGO 5 $4.80 $1.70 $6.36
8. FIRE FOX 8 $5.00 $1.70 $6.65
6. IDEAL MARQUESS 6 $6.00 $2.05 $7.47
10. NOTHINGBUTWAVES 10 $9.50 $2.75 $10.36
4. MAJOR ICON 4 $9.50 $2.70 $10.40
9. BARA RILEY 9 $12.00 $3.30 $12.20
7. MILLI ME 7 $14.00 $3.60 $14.44
1. WE ALWAYS HAVE FAITH 1 $61.00 $5.25 $49.58
2. IM BLINGIN IT 2 $81.00 $7.25 $61.51
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($3.70) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 93% 41*
1.50–1.99 47% 81% 58*
2.00–2.49 42% 66% 71
2.50–3.49 33% 61% 93
3.50–4.99 this race 13% 41% 32*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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