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MARBURG

R1 12:05 PM R2 12:32 PM R3 1:10 PM R4 1:47 PM R5 2:23 PM R6 3:02 PM R7 3:37 PM R8 4:12 PM

Race 3

1:10 PM
1850m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SWEDESBORO 📍 Place Pick
2nd TUSCANS COURAGE 💡 Saver
3rd KIPCHOGE
4th BETTY WINKLE
✅ Place bet — won outright — SWEDESBORO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — TUSCANS COURAGE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
4
SWEDESBORO W $1.75·P $1.04
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
8
TUSCANS COURAGE P $1.32
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. SWEDESBORO FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.75 $1.04 $2.66
8. TUSCANS COURAGE 8 $4.20 $1.32 $5.46
6. KIPCHOGE 6 $5.50 $1.50 $6.37
1. BETTY WINKLE 1 $9.50 $1.90 $10.70
5. DIVITO 5 $13.00 $2.65 $13.64
7. EL JEFE 7 $21.00 $3.50 $18.66
9. STAY DANCING 9 $23.00 $3.90 $22.70
3. MELTON FOURHUNDRED 3 $71.00 $5.50 $50.10
Favourite record at MARBURG ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 73% 100% 22*
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 86% 37*
2.00–2.49 48% 81% 27*
2.50–3.49 23% 77% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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