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PENRITH

R1 1:07 PM R2 1:42 PM R3 2:17 PM R4 2:55 PM R5 3:33 PM R6 4:07 PM R7 4:46 PM R8 5:24 PM

Race 4

2:55 PM
1720m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st STEELY ZAC
2nd PASSION AND PAIN
3rd MAVERICK
4th FEROCIOUS LOVER
❌ Unplaced — GUNNAREASON didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
GUNNAREASON P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. GUNNAREASON FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.32 $1.02 $1.91
9. STEELY ZAC 9 $5.00 $1.24 $5.72
10. PASSION AND PAIN 10 $8.00 $1.45 $8.26
7. FEROCIOUS LOVER 7 $23.00 $2.90 $20.00
1. MAVERICK 1 $34.00 $3.00 $25.81
2. SOCIAL VELOCITY 2 $51.00 $4.00 $36.16
5. DIVINELY FATED 5 $51.00 $4.40 $36.46
3. THE SHOWGIRL 3 $61.00 $4.75 $42.90
4. MARY TALJUICE 4 $126.00 $6.50 $72.35
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.32) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 70% 93% 40*
1.50–1.99 49% 84% 55*
2.00–2.49 43% 66% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 87
3.50–4.99 10% 40% 30*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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