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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:12 PM R2 5:41 PM R3 6:06 PM R4 6:40 PM R5 7:11 PM R6 7:46 PM R7 8:21 PM R8 8:56 PM R9 9:31 PM

Race 6

7:46 PM
1609m ยท 10 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st DECOUPAGE โญ Best Bet
2nd SLICK AND SUAVE
3rd ULTIMATE DILEMMA
4th TRUGOLD
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” DECOUPAGE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
DECOUPAGE P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. DECOUPAGE FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.14 $1.02 $1.69
1. CAPTAIN MIKI 1 $11.00 $1.45 $11.47
7. TRUGOLD 7 $13.00 $2.10 $13.50
2. WICKED LEGEND 2 $19.00 $2.40 $18.05
10. IM JUST SAYIN 10 $20.00 $2.50 $19.00
6. ULTIMATE DILEMMA 6 $31.00 $3.70 $26.24
11. SLICK AND SUAVE 11 $41.00 $4.00 $31.83
5. WOOPAA 5 $41.00 $4.00 $33.80
9. NEVER KNOW SPARKY 9 $61.00 $4.80 $44.98
8. SZWANEN 8 $81.00 $5.75 $53.48
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.14) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 69% 90% 42*
1.50โ€“1.99 48% 80% 91
2.00โ€“2.49 43% 71% 83
2.50โ€“3.49 29% 61% 132
3.50โ€“4.99 15% 50% 34*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.