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TAMWORTH

R1 12:52 PM R2 1:33 PM R3 2:07 PM R4 2:45 PM R5 3:21 PM R6 4:03 PM R7 4:37 PM R8 5:12 PM R9 5:50 PM

Race 5

3:21 PM
1980m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st TABRA
2nd WHENS LUNCH
3rd IM BELIEBER
4th EBBONY STORM
โŒ Unplaced โ€” KATASTROPHEE didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
KATASTROPHEE P $1.04
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. KATASTROPHEE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.70 $1.04 $2.57
7. EBBONY STORM 7 $6.00 $1.40 $7.10
5. LOCKITINEDDY 5 $8.50 $2.05 $10.25
8. IM BELIEBER 8 $11.00 $2.30 $10.82
2. JEREMY LOU 2 $11.00 $2.25 $10.91
9. WHENS LUNCH 9 $15.00 $3.10 $14.60
4. ASCOT SHOWTIME 4 $26.00 $4.00 $22.48
10. TABRA 10 $26.00 $4.20 $23.11
3. GOTONEBETTOR 3 $41.00 $5.00 $30.46
Favourite record at TAMWORTH โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 49% 70% 37*
2.00โ€“2.49 37% 67% 49*
2.50โ€“3.49 30% 61% 64

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.