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PENRITH

R1 6:14 PM R2 6:49 PM R3 7:21 PM R4 7:51 PM R5 8:21 PM R6 8:51 PM R7 9:18 PM R8 9:54 PM R9 10:21 PM

Race 7

9:18 PM
2125m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st KATES VIRTUE
2nd FINAL PROMISE 📍 Place Pick
3rd RIO DE JANEIRO BLUE
4th TENNESSEE KID
✅ Place bet landed — FINAL PROMISE ran a place
Open race Thin
No standout. Play a place, take a saver, or pass.
4
FINAL PROMISE P $1.60
place only
Open race with no standout — place bet on the market favourite.
⚑ Honestly? This one's a pass. Wide-open race, no standout — even the market can't split them. Save your money for a clearer race.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. FINAL PROMISE FAV TOP RATED 4 $4.20 $1.60 $5.65
1. TENNESSEE KID 1 $4.40 $1.50 $6.21
7. GIMME A REASON 7 $6.00 $1.90 $7.92
8. RIO DE JANEIRO BLUE 8 $6.50 $2.05 $8.73
6. KATES VIRTUE 6 $8.50 $2.60 $10.11
5. SMOKESCREEN 5 $10.00 $2.80 $11.38
2. JAY BEE LOU 2 $11.00 $2.80 $11.74
10. GREY CADILLAC 10 $12.00 $3.30 $13.26
9. STELLINA 9 $31.00 $5.50 $26.17
3. GO TESS GO 3 $34.00 $6.00 $28.18
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($4.20) sits in the 3.50–4.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 74% 95% 38*
1.50–1.99 49% 83% 53*
2.00–2.49 41% 64% 64
2.50–3.49 32% 61% 82
3.50–4.99 this race 7% 41% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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