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MELTON

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Race 8

9:00 PM
2240m ยท 8 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st THE PREACHER โญ Best Bet
2nd MET WITH A SHRUG
3rd MISTER DEVEREAUX
4th SKY SPIRIT
โœ… Place bet โ€” won outright โ€” THE PREACHER finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
THE PREACHER P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
4. THE PREACHER FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.50 $1.02 $2.17
3. SKY SPIRIT 3 $4.60 $1.24 $5.45
5. ROSEOFTHEWINDS 5 $6.00 $1.32 $6.60
8. SISTER MOLLY 8 $18.00 $2.75 $15.48
7. ADELAIDE RED 7 $16.00 $2.60 $15.95
6. MISTER DEVEREAUX 6 $34.00 $4.00 $26.43
1. MET WITH A SHRUG 1 $61.00 $4.00 $43.17
2. BETSY ANNE 2 $91.00 $5.25 $61.05
Favourite record at MELTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 87% 71
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 46% 80% 96
2.00โ€“2.49 32% 65% 78
2.50โ€“3.49 24% 66% 91
3.50โ€“4.99 24% 52% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.