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TAMWORTH

R1 1:51 PM R2 2:33 PM R3 3:07 PM R4 3:45 PM R5 4:20 PM R6 4:58 PM R7 5:24 PM

Race 5

4:20 PM
1609m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st LEAVE IT TO LUCY 📍 Place Pick
2nd JACKS FYRE 💡 Saver
3rd AMILLION PROMISES
4th LOCKITINEDDY
✅ Place bet — won outright — LEAVE IT TO LUCY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — JACKS FYRE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
5
LEAVE IT TO LUCY W $1.90·P $1.02
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
JACKS FYRE P $1.03
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
5. LEAVE IT TO LUCY FAV TOP RATED 5 $1.90 $1.02 $2.80
3. JACKS FYRE 3 $2.00 $1.03 $2.89
7. DOUGS RULES 7 $8.00 $1.60 $8.68
2. TEN GALLON 2 $21.00 $2.80 $17.06
9. NIGHT TO REMEMBER 9 $23.00 $3.30 $19.00
10. AMILLION PROMISES 10 $71.00 $6.00 $49.96
6. THE IRISH EAGLE 6 $101.00 $6.50 $58.82
1. ALL JOKIN ASIDE 1 $151.00 $5.50 $85.84
8. RAINBOW JET 8 $151.00 $7.00 $87.14
4. LOCKITINEDDY 4 $151.00 $7.50 $93.43
Favourite record at TAMWORTH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.90) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 70% 37*
2.00–2.49 37% 67% 49*
2.50–3.49 30% 61% 64

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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