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PENRITH

R1 5:57 PM R2 6:27 PM R3 6:53 PM R4 7:32 PM R5 8:00 PM R6 8:30 PM R7 9:00 PM R8 9:30 PM R9 10:01 PM

Race 8

9:30 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st ADDOCAR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd BELLAMYS BLAST
3rd JILLIBY TOMCAT
4th NEED FOUR SPEED
✅ Place bet — won outright — ADDOCAR finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
ADDOCAR P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. ADDOCAR FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.36 $1.02 $2.13
10. BELLAMYS BLAST 10 $7.00 $1.65 $8.15
1. JILLIBY TOMCAT 1 $9.50 $1.75 $10.27
8. LOUS PROMISE 8 $16.00 $2.70 $15.45
2. CHARLENES DELIGHT 2 $17.00 $2.75 $15.62
5. TOMMYS LUCK 5 $17.00 $3.00 $16.30
6. HOMEBOUND 6 $19.00 $3.20 $17.78
7. NEED FOUR SPEED 7 $41.00 $4.75 $34.84
9. GRANGE REASON 9 $81.00 $6.50 $51.74
4. WATCH AFRICANDANCE 4 $91.00 $6.75 $60.46
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.36) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 76% 95% 37*
1.50–1.99 49% 83% 53*
2.00–2.49 40% 65% 62
2.50–3.49 32% 61% 77
3.50–4.99 8% 38% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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