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NORTHAM

R1 7:24 PM R2 8:02 PM R3 8:34 PM R4 9:10 PM R5 9:45 PM R6 10:13 PM R7 10:42 PM R8 11:17 PM

Race 3

8:34 PM
2190m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Northam Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st TRICKY TEXAS
2nd LINCOLN LOVER ⭐ Best Bet
3rd RAVENOUS
4th LAST KING OF CAPEL
✅ Place bet landed — LINCOLN LOVER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
10
LINCOLN LOVER P $1.04
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
10. LINCOLN LOVER FAV TOP RATED 10 $1.60 $1.04 $2.37
5. DEVIL IN DISGUISE 5 $6.50 $1.60 $7.67
7. TRICKY TEXAS 7 $7.50 $1.80 $7.94
4. COPPER FINE 4 $9.50 $2.15 $10.32
3. WESSY KID 3 $18.00 $3.25 $15.61
9. LAST KING OF CAPEL 9 $17.00 $3.20 $15.82
8. RAVENOUS 8 $34.00 $4.20 $28.71
1. PORT TO PLEASE 1 $61.00 $4.60 $42.43
2. UNKNOWN 2 $81.00 $6.00 $51.06
6. ARMA MUSHU 6 $81.00 $6.75 $51.19
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 41% 81% 27*
2.50–3.49 26% 48% 31*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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