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REDCLIFFE

R1 5:17 PM R2 5:50 PM R3 6:22 PM R4 6:50 PM R5 7:20 PM R6 7:50 PM R7 8:20 PM R8 8:50 PM R9 9:19 PM

Race 1

5:17 PM
1780m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Redcliffe Harness Racing & Sporting Club ›
🏁 Result
1st STILLYOURSHOT
2nd ROCK NIEN ⭐ Best Bet
3rd LITTLE SURFER GIRL
4th ZAC DANIELS
✅ Place bet landed — ROCK NIEN ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
ROCK NIEN P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. ROCK NIEN FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.38 $1.02 $2.03
7. LITTLE SURFER GIRL 7 $4.60 $1.16 $5.39
4. STILLYOURSHOT 4 $9.50 $1.60 $10.32
8. ZAC DANIELS 8 $11.00 $1.75 $10.45
2. MACS A DUDE 2 $23.00 $2.70 $18.83
5. TURBO TOMMY 5 $34.00 $3.75 $25.11
9. THERESACHANCE 9 $81.00 $5.75 $54.42
6. KONNYMARA 6 $91.00 $6.00 $54.71
Favourite record at REDCLIFFE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 70% 91% 89
1.50–1.99 47% 80% 157
2.00–2.49 43% 76% 160
2.50–3.49 29% 61% 175
3.50–4.99 25% 45% 40*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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