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NORTHAM

R1 7:38 PM R2 8:05 PM R3 8:45 PM R4 9:16 PM R5 9:43 PM R6 10:14 PM R7 10:48 PM R8 11:24 PM

Race 3

8:45 PM
2190m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Northam Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st FLOAT MY BOAT
2nd LETS ROCK TONIGHT
3rd DEE JAYS BIG BOY
4th VELVET SHADOW
❌ Unplaced — LAZARUS STAR didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
LAZARUS STAR P $1.03
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. LAZARUS STAR FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.65 $1.03 $2.55
9. FLOAT MY BOAT 9 $3.40 $1.24 $4.42
8. DEE JAYS BIG BOY 8 $13.00 $2.45 $13.10
7. IDONTWANABEAPIRATE 7 $14.00 $2.75 $13.75
1. WORLD OF ROCK 1 $20.00 $2.80 $18.88
2. PHILTHEJUG 2 $26.00 $3.70 $22.16
4. DANGER 4 $26.00 $3.90 $23.63
5. LETS ROCK TONIGHT 5 $31.00 $4.25 $25.52
3. VELVET SHADOW 3 $51.00 $5.50 $35.21
10. CRETACEOUS 10 $51.00 $5.75 $40.18
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 this race 42% 83% 24*
2.50–3.49 28% 52% 29*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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