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LAUNCESTON

R1 5:09 PM R2 5:37 PM R3 6:14 PM R4 6:52 PM R5 7:27 PM R6 7:55 PM R7 8:23 PM R8 8:58 PM

Race 5

7:27 PM
1680m · 9 runners
🏁 Result
1st TWILIGHT STORM ⭐ Best Bet
2nd I GOTTA GO
3rd FEELINKINDALUCKY
4th BARBETTE
✅ Place bet — won outright — TWILIGHT STORM finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
TWILIGHT STORM P $1.03
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. TWILIGHT STORM FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.65 $1.03 $2.41
8. WEE GEORGIE WOOD 8 $6.00 $1.38 $7.15
3. ALL ABOUT SADIE 3 $7.00 $1.60 $7.76
10. I GOTTA GO 10 $10.00 $2.25 $10.58
7. IMA LITTLE NEEDY 7 $10.00 $2.25 $11.43
9. COUNT YOUR BLESSIN 9 $26.00 $3.75 $23.80
4. POSTER STORM 4 $31.00 $4.40 $25.14
6. BARBETTE 6 $51.00 $5.75 $38.31
5. FEELINKINDALUCKY 5 $51.00 $5.75 $38.98
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 80% 98% 40*
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 70% 40*
2.00–2.49 28% 60% 40*
2.50–3.49 30% 66% 61

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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