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LAUNCESTON

R1 3:54 PM R2 4:19 PM R3 5:02 PM R4 5:31 PM R5 6:09 PM R6 6:47 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:59 PM R9 8:31 PM R10 8:58 PM

Race 8

7:59 PM
2200m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LIKEYOUFORAREASON 💡 Saver
2nd ALWAYS BETTOR
3rd ROCKY ROCKS 📍 Place Pick
4th AFFAMATO
✅ Place bet landed — ROCKY ROCKS ran a place
✅ Saver won — LIKEYOUFORAREASON finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
6
ROCKY ROCKS W $1.95·P $1.06
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
LIKEYOUFORAREASON P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. ROCKY ROCKS FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.95 $1.06 $2.85
5. LIKEYOUFORAREASON 5 $4.00 $1.28 $5.06
4. AFFAMATO 4 $5.50 $1.45 $6.60
7. ALWAYS BETTOR 7 $9.50 $2.25 $9.78
3. PORT RUN MACHINE 3 $14.00 $2.75 $13.87
1. ZIHUATANEJO 1 $17.00 $2.60 $15.36
8. ROCKY STRIDE 8 $21.00 $3.75 $20.12
2. TAPPY 2 $151.00 $8.00 $87.23
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.95) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 79% 97% 39*
1.50–1.99 this race 42% 68% 38*
2.00–2.49 26% 58% 38*
2.50–3.49 27% 64% 59*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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