โ€น All races

LAUNCESTON

R1 3:54 PM R2 4:19 PM R3 5:02 PM R4 5:31 PM R5 6:09 PM R6 6:47 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:59 PM R9 8:31 PM R10 8:58 PM

Race 4

5:31 PM
2200m ยท 12 runners
๐Ÿ Result
1st GLENVIEW LANIKAI
2nd CARMEN EMJAY
3rd SMOOTH REASON
4th PHLOW JO
โŒ Unplaced โ€” BARBARY TALES didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
BARBARY TALES P $1.02
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. BARBARY TALES FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.14 $1.02 $1.71
13. CARMEN EMJAY 13 $11.00 $2.00 $11.39
3. SMOOTH REASON 3 $14.00 $2.15 $15.17
12. THE BRIDE 12 $16.00 $2.60 $15.67
10. ITSMENOTU 10 $19.00 $2.80 $17.45
4. GLENVIEW LANIKAI 4 $41.00 $4.40 $35.05
8. TULLAH GIRL 8 $51.00 $5.00 $41.46
5. ALWAYSATIGER 5 $61.00 $5.50 $45.44
11. ANGEL ROCKS 11 $71.00 $6.00 $48.30
7. PHLOW JO 7 $91.00 $6.50 $62.06
2. SPORT WATCHER 2 $91.00 $4.60 $71.17
9. OUTBACK LASS 9 $91.00 $5.75 $71.85
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.14) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 79% 97% 39*
1.50โ€“1.99 42% 68% 38*
2.00โ€“2.49 26% 58% 38*
2.50โ€“3.49 27% 64% 59*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.