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LAUNCESTON

R1 3:54 PM R2 4:19 PM R3 5:02 PM R4 5:31 PM R5 6:09 PM R6 6:47 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:59 PM R9 8:31 PM R10 8:58 PM

Race 3

5:02 PM
2200m · 12 runners
🏁 Result
1st TAMBROS TILLY
2nd CHAMONIX
3rd DONNY IN PARIS
4th FOURTH RESPONSE 📍 Place Pick
❌ Unplaced — FOURTH RESPONSE didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
FOURTH RESPONSE W $1.65·P $1.04
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
BAIL DENIED P $1.20
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. FOURTH RESPONSE FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.65 $1.04 $2.52
3. BAIL DENIED 3 $2.80 $1.20 $3.93
1. SOHO TIGER LILY 1 $13.00 $2.20 $12.53
5. TAMBROS TILLY 5 $20.00 $3.60 $19.59
11. CHAMONIX 11 $21.00 $3.70 $20.20
8. JAMES CAGNEY 8 $31.00 $4.40 $26.42
12. ROCK AMOUR 12 $41.00 $5.00 $32.93
4. LIKEABLE ROGUE 4 $51.00 $5.75 $36.12
7. SOUTHERN LUCK 7 $61.00 $6.25 $46.38
6. SHOOBEES SPIRIT 6 $61.00 $6.25 $47.14
10. SAPPHIRE GAMBLER 10 $81.00 $6.75 $60.57
9. DONNY IN PARIS 9 $126.00 $7.00 $79.40
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 79% 97% 39*
1.50–1.99 this race 42% 68% 38*
2.00–2.49 26% 58% 38*
2.50–3.49 27% 64% 59*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.