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MELTON

R1 5:29 PM R2 6:02 PM R3 6:34 PM R4 7:07 PM R5 7:38 PM R6 8:09 PM R7 8:49 PM R8 9:27 PM

Race 3

6:34 PM
2240m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Victoria Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st FAIRPLAY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd HITTHEROADJACK
3rd THESTATESMAN
4th MY UNCLE STAN
✅ Place bet — won outright — FAIRPLAY finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
9
FAIRPLAY P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
9. FAIRPLAY FAV TOP RATED 9 $1.45 $1.02 $2.07
6. THESTATESMAN 6 $6.50 $1.38 $7.13
3. MY UNCLE STAN 3 $7.50 $1.45 $8.44
7. ROYAL APPOINTMENT 7 $13.00 $2.25 $11.64
4. LILLY LOTUS 4 $13.00 $2.25 $11.85
8. AMPHIJET 8 $41.00 $4.40 $27.04
2. TARA VICTORY 2 $51.00 $4.40 $36.93
1. HITTHEROADJACK 1 $61.00 $4.00 $42.25
Favourite record at MELTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 75% 88% 60
1.50–1.99 45% 81% 73
2.00–2.49 35% 67% 66
2.50–3.49 22% 67% 81
3.50–4.99 27% 50% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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