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NORTHAM

R1 8:06 PM R2 8:43 PM R3 9:10 PM R4 9:46 PM R5 10:16 PM R6 10:55 PM R7 11:23 PM

Race 4

9:46 PM
1780m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Northam Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st MISS VINCENZA ⭐ Best Bet
2nd SHECANPLAY
3rd CHERRY ON THE CAKE
4th AMERICAN MONARCH
✅ Place bet — won outright — MISS VINCENZA finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
6
MISS VINCENZA P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
6. MISS VINCENZA FAV TOP RATED 6 $1.40 $1.02 $2.10
5. SHECANPLAY 5 $5.50 $1.36 $6.72
10. BLOCKJORG 10 $10.00 $2.15 $10.39
7. AMERICAN MONARCH 7 $12.00 $2.30 $13.92
3. HEAVEN KNOWS I TRY 3 $23.00 $3.30 $17.39
1. CHERRY ON THE CAKE 1 $21.00 $2.75 $20.76
9. RECOVER LOVER 9 $23.00 $3.70 $23.82
8. VALHALLA MISS 8 $34.00 $4.00 $31.53
4. MISS KNOWALL 4 $41.00 $4.60 $35.71
Favourite record at NORTHAM ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
1.50–1.99 38% 86% 21*
2.50–3.49 30% 56% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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