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PENRITH

R1 5:12 PM R2 5:46 PM R3 6:22 PM R4 6:47 PM R5 7:15 PM R6 7:45 PM R7 8:15 PM R8 8:45 PM R9 9:15 PM R10 9:41 PM

Race 1

5:12 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st OKAY GRINGO
2nd MY ULTIMATE BUDDHA 📍 Place Pick
3rd SMOKESCREEN 💡 Saver
4th KATES VIRTUE
✅ Place bet landed — MY ULTIMATE BUDDHA ran a place
✅ Saver placed — SMOKESCREEN ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
7
MY ULTIMATE BUDDHA W $2.25·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
2
SMOKESCREEN P $1.32
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
7. MY ULTIMATE BUDDHA FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.25 $1.18 $3.43
2. SMOKESCREEN 2 $3.60 $1.32 $5.36
1. FLO RYDA 1 $8.50 $2.00 $9.82
3. WHEREISHE 3 $11.00 $2.70 $11.61
5. GIMME A REASON 5 $15.00 $3.40 $14.56
9. OKAY GRINGO 9 $16.00 $3.60 $14.71
8. OURTREACHEROUS REIGN 8 $17.00 $3.50 $15.85
4. KATES VIRTUE 4 $21.00 $4.00 $19.75
6. RIO DE JANEIRO BLUE 6 $26.00 $4.50 $21.34
10. CHARLIES ACE 10 $34.00 $5.50 $27.05
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 97% 33*
1.50–1.99 49% 82% 49*
2.00–2.49 this race 43% 68% 56*
2.50–3.49 32% 60% 68
3.50–4.99 4% 39% 23*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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