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NEWCASTLE

R1 1:17 PM R2 1:52 PM R3 2:33 PM R4 3:10 PM R5 3:45 PM R6 4:20 PM R7 5:00 PM R8 5:33 PM

Race 3

2:33 PM
1609m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st KISS BEFORE TWELVE
2nd LUCIENDO BIEN 📍 Place Pick
3rd SOHO CRUZA
4th BUCKAROO SHANNON
✅ Place bet landed — LUCIENDO BIEN ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
LUCIENDO BIEN P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
8. LUCIENDO BIEN FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.80 $1.26 $3.92
9. SOHO CRUZA 9 $3.20 $1.30 $4.49
1. KISS BEFORE TWELVE 1 $3.50 $1.30 $4.72
6. THE SHOWGIRL 6 $14.00 $3.20 $14.55
3. RIVER WASH 3 $16.00 $3.40 $15.92
2. BIRUBI BOOGIE 2 $18.00 $3.50 $16.68
5. INCREDIBLE SAMMY 5 $26.00 $4.40 $21.01
10. BUCKAROO SHANNON 10 $51.00 $5.75 $40.38
11. SPUNKYS A COUGAR 11 $51.00 $6.50 $41.88
7. SKYFALL SPIRIT 7 $51.00 $6.25 $44.05
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 88% 34*
1.50–1.99 47% 81% 77
2.00–2.49 43% 71% 69
2.50–3.49 this race 30% 63% 109
3.50–4.99 15% 48% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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