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NEWCASTLE

R1 5:05 PM R2 5:42 PM R3 6:07 PM R4 6:41 PM R5 7:12 PM R6 7:47 PM R7 8:22 PM R8 8:57 PM R9 9:32 PM

Race 7

8:22 PM
2030m ยท 9 runners
๐Ÿ“ Our record & guide for Newcastle Harness Racing Club โ€บ
๐Ÿ Result
1st FOUR FEATHERS
2nd TIGERLICIOUS โญ Best Bet
3rd UPSTREAM
4th PENURIOUS
โœ… Place bet landed โ€” TIGERLICIOUS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price โ€” but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
TIGERLICIOUS P $1.04
place only โญ Best Bet
Dominant favourite โ€” market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests โ€” a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings โ€บ
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
3. TIGERLICIOUS FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.70 $1.04 $2.63
1. UPSTREAM 1 $4.60 $1.32 $5.90
2. PENURIOUS 2 $9.50 $2.10 $10.21
5. MEDIA MOGUL 5 $11.00 $2.45 $11.72
4. BODYLINE 4 $12.00 $2.60 $12.54
7. FOUR FEATHERS 7 $17.00 $3.40 $15.02
6. ULTIMATE TROUBLE 6 $19.00 $3.70 $18.70
9. MYRAS MINT 9 $31.00 $3.90 $29.38
8. SAINT KARAMARA 8 $41.00 $5.25 $30.21
Favourite record at NEWCASTLE โ€บ

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results โ€” the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.70) sits in the 1.50โ€“1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 88% 34*
1.50โ€“1.99 this race 48% 80% 75
2.00โ€“2.49 43% 71% 68
2.50โ€“3.49 31% 64% 105
3.50โ€“4.99 15% 50% 26*

Descriptive track record from settled results โ€” independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence โ€” they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly ยท 18+ ยท GambleAware.