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PENRITH

R1 5:39 PM R2 6:08 PM R3 6:44 PM R4 7:15 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:15 PM R9 9:45 PM R10 10:15 PM

Race 4

7:15 PM
2125m · 9 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st LUV THE NITELIFE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ONE FOR THE RODI
3rd DUTY OF CARE
4th MAC THUNDER
✅ Place bet — won outright — LUV THE NITELIFE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
LUV THE NITELIFE P $1.02
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite — market has strong consensus. Place bet is the value play at these odds.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
1. LUV THE NITELIFE FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.50 $1.02 $2.16
4. DUTY OF CARE 4 $6.50 $1.50 $7.55
7. WINGMAN LOU 7 $9.50 $1.75 $10.18
8. IDEAL MARQUESS 8 $11.00 $2.10 $11.53
2. MAC THUNDER 2 $17.00 $2.70 $15.46
3. FOR ALWAYS ARDEN 3 $17.00 $2.90 $16.39
10. ONE FOR THE RODI 10 $31.00 $4.20 $26.45
6. MAGNETIC STORM 6 $41.00 $4.75 $33.86
9. FIRE FOX 9 $51.00 $5.25 $37.11
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 97% 30*
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 82% 44*
2.00–2.49 46% 69% 52*
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 63
3.50–4.99 5% 41% 22*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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