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PENRITH

R1 5:49 PM R2 6:23 PM R3 6:52 PM R4 7:17 PM R5 7:45 PM R6 8:15 PM R7 8:45 PM R8 9:16 PM R9 9:47 PM R10 10:15 PM

Race 8

9:16 PM
1720m · 10 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Penrith District A H & I Society T/A Club Paceway ›
🏁 Result
1st LEWIE KELLY 📍 Place Pick
2nd MAJOR AUSTIN
3rd TIME TO DANCE 💡 Saver
4th JOHNNY TANG
✅ Place bet — won outright — LEWIE KELLY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — TIME TO DANCE ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
LEWIE KELLY W $1.75·P $1.12
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
3
TIME TO DANCE P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. LEWIE KELLY FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.75 $1.12 $2.71
3. TIME TO DANCE 3 $3.70 $1.30 $5.89
1. MAJOR AUSTIN 1 $7.50 $1.65 $9.18
9. LEAVE IT TO LUCY 9 $20.00 $3.40 $14.10
5. FINAL PROMISE 5 $10.00 $2.25 $16.28
8. OUR ULTIMATE LAYLA 8 $34.00 $3.90 $17.30
6. ROCK ASSET 6 $41.00 $4.80 $18.40
4. HOMEBOUND 4 $51.00 $5.50 $22.72
7. JOHNNY TANG 7 $51.00 $5.50 $25.57
10. ROYAL VINCENT 10 $51.00 $5.50 $40.47
Favourite record at PENRITH ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 72% 96% 25*
1.50–1.99 this race 45% 85% 33*
2.00–2.49 44% 69% 48*
2.50–3.49 30% 60% 50*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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