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BALLARAT

R1 5:37 PM R2 6:12 PM R3 6:39 PM R4 7:05 PM R5 7:30 PM R6 8:00 PM R7 8:30 PM R8 9:04 PM

Race 4

7:05 PM
1710m · 10 runners
🏁 Result
1st NO TELLING HEATHER
2nd NIGHT FLIGHT 💡 Saver
3rd POPPY POPSTAR 📍 Place Pick
4th AI SEDHAI
✅ Place bet landed — POPPY POPSTAR ran a place
✅ Saver placed — NIGHT FLIGHT ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
POPPY POPSTAR W $1.80·P $1.18
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
4
NIGHT FLIGHT P $2.10
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBarrierWinPlaceOur rate
2. POPPY POPSTAR FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.80 $1.18 $2.84
5. AI SEDHAI 5 $11.00 $2.50 $8.20
9. SCAR 9 $13.00 $2.70 $10.85
1. NO TELLING HEATHER 1 $12.00 $2.25 $12.19
6. VOLSTEADSDELIGHT 6 $11.00 $2.50 $12.32
4. NIGHT FLIGHT 4 $7.50 $2.10 $14.30
7. JAKARTA 7 $31.00 $4.60 $17.99
8. VICTREE VIC 8 $19.00 $3.60 $19.27
3. BLACK AND GOLD 3 $23.00 $4.00 $19.83
10. NOBLE COUNT 10 $14.00 $3.10 $23.05
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
2.50–3.49 30% 44% 27*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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